ACRO Single Sequence FPS Analysis for Judge 4:  Carole Holyk - CAN

Ranking Index = 15.80

2018 US Nationals, Wittman Regional Airport, September 22-28 2018
Judges nation High value
Panel / neutral Low value
Advanced - Power, Free Sequence
 
Raw and normalised / FPS revised marks and scores
FP Rank before penalties Fig-1 Fig-2 Fig-3 Fig-4 Fig-5 Fig-6 Fig-7 Fig-8 Fig-9 Fig-10 Fig-11 Fig-12 Pres No RI / FP J-rank Diff
1 Steven Johnson - USA 7.5 5.5 7.0 6.5 7.5 4.5 8.0 8.0 6.5 7.0 6.5 6.5 7.5 0 2390.4 2 -1
  MX2 N487MX 8.89 6.76 7.65 7.96 8.19 5.36 8.43 8.57 7.23 7.69 7.23 6.89 7.71   1410.9    
2 Matthew Dunfee - USA 8.0 8.0 8.0 8.0 6.0 6.5 6.5 9.0 9.0 8.5 7.5 7.0 8.0 0 Hi 2552.1 1 +1
  Extra 330SC N494MB 8.43 8.57 8.57 8.43 6.41 7.19 7.96 9.46 9.00 9.30 8.20 8.10 8.62   2410.3    
3 Martin Flournoy - USA 6.5 6.0 7.5 5.5 6.5 7.5 6.5 5.5 6.5 6.0 6.0 6.5 7.0 0 2255.7 6 -3
  MX2 N540RH 7.96 6.87 8.27 6.76 7.23 8.19 7.19 6.39 7.19 6.38 7.36 7.55 6.79   2360.1    
4 John Ostmeyer - USA 5.0 4.0 7.0 PZ 4.5 6.5 7.0 6.0 7.0 6.0 5.0 6.0 6.5 1 Lo 2004.8 11 -7
  Pitts S-1T N230JM 5.81 3.94 7.69 6.60 5.56 7.29 7.35 6.66 7.67 7.36 5.75 7.00 5.88   2266.2    
5 Andy Ernewein - CAN 8.0 7.0 7.0 7.0 6.5 6.0 7.5 5.5 6.5 7.0 6.0 7.0 7.5 0 2267.6 5
  Pitts S-1S CFSUP 8.27 7.65 7.35 7.67 7.17 6.87 7.99 6.20 7.17 7.69 6.05 8.10 7.71   2276.7    
6 Johnny Wacker - USA 6.5 7.0 6.5 6.0 7.0 5.5 7.0 6.0 7.5 7.5 7.5 7.5 8.0 0 2340.2 3 +3
  Extra 330SC N340JK 7.19 7.40 7.55 6.41 7.67 6.76 7.55 6.78 7.92 7.92 8.00 8.65 8.62   2282.5    
7 Jeffrey Petrocelli - USA 8.0 7.0 6.5 7.5 5.5 4.0 6.5 6.5 6.0 6.5 6.5 6.0 7.5 0 2175.5 8 -1
  Extra 330SC N330MP 8.27 7.40 7.55 8.27 6.33 4.96 7.19 7.23 6.38 6.89 6.70 7.00 7.71   2358.8    
8 Christopher Magon - USA 7.5 8.0 7.5 7.0 6.0 6.5 5.5 8.0 6.5 7.0 6.0 4.0 7.5 0 2308.2 4 +4
  Extra 300S N65EX 8.20 8.40 7.92 7.35 6.78 7.96 6.20 8.89 7.17 7.69 6.87 4.81 7.71   2181.0    
9 Michael Forney - USA 6.0 7.5 7.5 5.5 5.5 5.5 4.5 7.0 6.5 7.0 6.5 6.5 7.0 0 2184.7 7 +2
  Pitts S-1T N49306 7.36 7.92 8.27 6.46 6.46 5.87 5.36 7.74 7.19 7.69 7.16 6.70 6.79   2327.7    
10 Michael Lents - USA 6.5 5.5 5.5 5.0 6.0 6.0 8.0 4.5 5.0 5.0 7.0 0 2045.3 9 +1
  Panzl S-330 N330CG 7.55 5.80 6.46 5.93 6.87 7.36 8.57 5.56 5.94 5.91 6.79   2189.2    
11 Grant Nielsen - USA 6.0 6.5 5.0 4.0 5.0 7.0 PZ 6.5 6.5 PZ 5.5 4.5 7.5 2 1949.9 12 -1
  CAP 232 N232XS 6.75 7.29 5.52 4.17 5.93 7.74 7.46 6.89 7.29 6.85 5.40 5.36 7.71   2089.5    
12 Christopher Combs - USA 9.0 9.0 8.0 8.5 8.0 8.0 HZ HZ 7.0 8.0 8.0 HZ 7.5 1 1904.8 13 -1
  Extra 330SC N330ZZ 9.54 9.54 8.43 9.23 8.40 8.72 HZ HZ 8.22 8.40 8.27 5.20 7.71   1982.6    
13 Dick Fennell - USA Hi 7.0 7.0 5.5 6.5 4.5 6.5 3.0 6.5 5.0 6.0 5.5 5.5 7.0 1 2020.0 10 +3
  MXS N530JK 0.21 7.74 5.80 6.70 5.51 7.17 3.71 7.16 5.52 6.84 6.39 6.34 6.79   1974.1    
14 Duncan Koerbel - USA 5.0 PZ 6.0 5.5 5.5 7.0 6.5 7.0 6R PZ 5.5 5.5 6.0 6.5 2 1830.1 14
  Extra 300 N981KM 6.10 0.00 CHZ 6.34 6.33 8.22 7.17 7.74 2.82 6.45 5.87 6.38 5.88   1734.6    
15 Douglas Sowder - USA 7.0 7.5 7.0 7.0 7.0 6.5 4.5 HZ HZ HZ HZ HZ 7.5 0 1442.6 15
  Extra 300L N25AP 8.22 7.92 7.69 7.65 7.35 7.55 5.51 HZ HZ HZ HZ HZ 7.71   1596.0    
    1 0 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 1 0 1 0 7 2   28
 
FPS revised marks Distribution of raw marks
  Mark to CHZ 1     38 max None HZ PZ AV 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 5.0 5.5 6.0 6.5 7.0 7.5 8.0 8.5 9.0 9.5 10.0
  PZ to CHZ -    
  AV to CHZ -    
  AV to Mark -    
  PZ to Mark 3    
  HZ to Mark 1    
  Lo to Mark -    
  Hi to Mark 1    

  The 60% rule

1

   
This judge's raw marks
Whole panel after FPS
 
Review of anomalies
Mark anomalies   Judge 1 Judge 2 Judge 3 Judge 4 Judge 5 Judge 6 Judge 7 Ch.Judge
Christopher Combs - USA Fig-12 8.0 6.5 2.5 HZ 4.0 6.0 Lo 0.0 OK
Extra 330SC N330ZZ   6.75 6.21 3.18 5.20 3.90 4.95 4.71  
Dick Fennell - USA Fig-1 0.0 HZ 0.0 Hi 7.0 HZ 0.0 0.0 OK
MXS N530JK   0.00 0.21 0.00 0.21 0.21 0.00 0.00  
Duncan Koerbel - USA Fig-3 HZ HZ HZ 6.0 AVGE HZ HZ CHZ
Extra 300 N981KM   HZ HZ HZ HZ HZ HZ HZ  
Duncan Koerbel - USA Fig-9 6R 6.5 6R PZ 6R PZ 6R PZ 6R PZ 6R 7.0 6R 6.5 OK
Extra 300 N981KM   2.82 2.82 2.82 2.82 2.82 2.82 2.82  
Grant Nielsen - USA Fig-7 8.0 8.0 8.5 Lo PZ 7.5 7.0 7.5 OK
CAP 232 N232XS   8.36 7.26 7.81 7.46 7.31 6.64 7.37  
Grant Nielsen - USA Fig-10 6.5 7.5 6.0 Lo PZ 8.0 7.5 7.0 OK
CAP 232 N232XS   7.15 6.73 6.57 6.85 7.34 7.54 6.82  
John Ostmeyer - USA Fig-4 6.0 7.5 8.5 Lo PZ 7.0 7.0 5.0 OK
Pitts S-1T N230JM   6.39 6.69 7.81 6.60 6.82 6.64 5.27  
 
Score anomalies    Judge 1  Judge 2  Judge 3  Judge 4  Judge 5  Judge 6  Judge 7
John Ostmeyer - USA   2362.6 2313.7 2403.2 Lo 2004.8 2285.3 2202.3 2339.0
Pitts S-1T N230JM   2276.7
Matthew Dunfee - USA   2263.1 2378.2 2225.2 Hi 2552.1 2281.9 2406.1 2362.9
Extra 330SC N494MB   2360.1
 
Review of Judge style and RI items
Judging style: Judge Panel 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 9.0 10.0 Judges average mark = 6.53, mean spread of marks (2xSD) = 1.96 Panel average mark = 7.18, mean spread of marks (2xSD) = 2.08
Pilots not ranked correctly Aeroplane Judge
score
Bias
Hi/Lo
Panel
score
Score
difference
Judge
rank
Panel
rank
Rank
diff'ce
RI value
this pilot
Percent
of total
  RI elements ranked
  by decreasing size
John Ostmeyer - USA Pitts S-1T 1967.0 Lo 2307.3 - 340.2 11 4 - 7 7.26 45.9%
Dick Fennell - USA MXS 1984.1 - 1691.4 + 292.7 10 13 + 3 3.65 23.1%
Christopher Magon - USA Extra 300S 2306.6 - 2208.5 + 98.0 4 8 + 4 1.25 7.9%
Matthew Dunfee - USA Extra 330SC 2579.6 Hi 2331.4 + 248.2 1 2 + 1 0.75 4.7%
Johnny Wacker - USA Extra 330SC 2342.5 - 2275.3 + 67.2 3 6 + 3 0.62 3.9%
Martin Flournoy - USA MX2 2247.9 - 2311.2 - 63.3 6 3 - 3 0.58 3.7%
Grant Nielsen - USA CAP 232 1905.6 - 2078.2 - 172.6 12 11 - 1 0.58 3.7%
Michael Lents - USA Panzl S-330 2012.4 - 2165.3 - 152.9 9 10 + 1 0.50 3.1%
Jeffrey Petrocelli - USA Extra 330SC 2158.2 - 2243.5 - 85.3 8 7 - 1 0.27 1.7%
Michael Forney - USA Pitts S-1T 2168.5 - 2194.9 - 26.4 7 9 + 2 0.17 1.1%
Steven Johnson - USA MX2 2398.6 - 2348.8 + 49.9 2 1 - 1 0.15 0.9%
Christopher Combs - USA Extra 330SC 1855.2 - 1849.3 + 5.9 13 12 - 1 0.02 0.1%
Pilots ranked correctly   Judge
score
  Panel
score
Score
difference
Judge
rank
Panel
rank
 
Andy Ernewein - CAN Pitts S-1S 2261.2   2300.3 - 39.1 5 5        
Duncan Koerbel - USA Extra 300 1771.6   1600.2 + 171.3 14 14        
Douglas Sowder - USA Extra 300L 1337.9   1391.3 - 53.4 15 15        
 
Total RI contribution per nation
Judge:

max nation bias = 0.00

min = -1.92

o/all average = -0.24

Panel:

= 5.55

min = -7.78  
 
Most favoured Least favoured Average 14 x USA 1 x CAN

Ranking Index totals per nation
using the +/- rank differences to show
national bias from the most to the
least favoured teams of Pilots

The number of Pilots in each nation
is shown with the nationality

 
Calculations by: FairPlay v2 (non-scoring CJ + CHZ Summary)
Aerobatic Contest Results Organiser, ACRO Version 4.3 Build: 13/09/18